Prediction Market Guides

Clear, evergreen explainers for reading market probabilities, evaluating sources and understanding how Nyotam settles forecasts.

How Prediction Markets Work

A prediction market turns a public question into YES and NO probabilities that update as people trade their forecasts.

Market Resolution Guide

Markets close, evidence is checked against the published criteria, and winning positions are settled from the pool.

Football Prediction Insights

Football markets move on team news, tournament incentives, injuries, form and local context.

Political Forecasts

Political markets are strongest when traders separate headlines from measurable outcomes and timelines.

Forecasting Basics

Good forecasting starts with probabilities, uncertainty, sources, calibration and honest updates.

How Prediction Markets Work

A prediction market turns a public question into YES and NO probabilities that update as people trade their forecasts.

Market Resolution Guide

Markets close, evidence is checked against the published criteria, and winning positions are settled from the pool.

Football Prediction Insights

Football markets move on team news, tournament incentives, injuries, form and local context.

Political Forecasts

Political markets are strongest when traders separate headlines from measurable outcomes and timelines.

Forecasting Basics

Good forecasting starts with probabilities, uncertainty, sources, calibration and honest updates.